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The U.S. "Wall Street Journal" pointed out that the recent decline in oil prices is similar to the market's performance last year, when crude oil prices lost upward momentum and flattened after rising in the spring, and then plummeted near the end of the year. John Buffs, the lead author of the World Bank's latest "Commodity Market Prospects" quarterly report, pointed out that as the oversupply in the crude oil market has slowed down, crude oil prices are expected to rebound slightly in the second half of this year. However, as inventory levels remain at high levels and will take some time to fall, oil prices are still hovering at low levels this year.
The report also pointed out that energy prices, including crude oil, natural gas and coal, remain below last year's average due to continued high supply and slowing demand in emerging market economies. The report predicts that energy prices will fall by .% this year compared with last year, with the decline slower than the monthly forecast.
In addition, industry data released on Friday showed that hedge funds have become more bearish on the oil market due to concerns about fundamentals, with net short positions in gasoline increasing to a record high and long bets on crude oil falling to a five-month low. Money managers, including hedge funds and other large speculators, hold a record net short position in the New York Mercantile Exchange gasoline contract, data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission shows.
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